It's pretty widespread awareness that public tend to overrate favorites. Still now and then in NCAAB, this bets are paying if or had learned what to look for.
Actually, each team, regardless if home, away, underdog or favorite, could be rewarding in certain cases, so do not set your limits low - an edge exists for any of these cases.
I will look at those teams which ought to achieve victory, those double digit favorites.
Though barely 49,3% win against the spread, now and then they are undervalued, for example if they dropped their previous game and were favourite in that game. In this situation they are 50,5% against the spread. This comes from that loss, and one feel comfortable to wager on, for instance, 15 point underdog than a 5 point dog, since one starts match with big odds, although you put money on bad team.
If that big favorite furthermore did not win previous matchup with its current opposition, we get a small odds movement toward that team which gives us 52,3% against the spread for us. This percentage is exactly on the outskirts of profit,so we will need at least one more factor to implement to get moneymaking system. For example it can be that our team, furthermore comes from BB losses, and therefore its form is looking bad.
This system will get that team circa 1,5 point edge on average or 56,5% vs the line. Take care though, do not anticipate that you will find a number of 10+ favorites losing 2 straight games. All the same it is moneymaking edge which is going to help you get solid plays. Still do not forget you should take into consideration other influences which our system consider. Important factors ,for example, injuries, exhaustion or odds movements will influence the result of each match.
The bottom line is: do not bet carelessly any edge, it can lead to poor house. One must examine in details the matches for which the system says you should have some advantage. And then determine is it wise to wager your hard earned money on that double digit fav team.
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